Mayflower Village leans slightly Democratic by roughly 14 points: about 57% of voters vote Democratic and 43% Republican.
About 67% of adults in Mayflower Village typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Mayflower Village, ~38% vote Democratic, ~29% Republican, and ~33% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Mayflower Village compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Mayflower Village leans more Democratic than 1 of 5 neighbors.
Mayflower Village runs about 6 points more Republican than California as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Mayflower Village. The northeast side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+20) and the south side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+8), a spread of about 12 points.
Why Mayflower Village leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Mayflower Village, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in Mayflower Village live in densely developed areas, about 64 points above the U.S. average of 36%.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Mayflower Village, Arcadia, CA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Mayflower Village looks the way it does
Turnout in Mayflower Village sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- North El Monte, Arcadia, CA D+13
- East San Gabriel, San Gabriel, CA D+20
- Mountain View, El Monte, CA D+28
- North East, Pasadena, CA D+24
- Bassett, West Puente Valley, CA D+31
- South East, Pasadena, CA D+56
- Valle Lindo, South El Monte, CA D+25
- Mid Central, Pasadena, CA D+51
- East Central, Pasadena, CA D+42
- Garvey, Rosemead, CA D+17
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Wydewood Estates, Midland, TX R+53
- Hunter's Ridge, Fontana, CA R+2
- Richmond Heights-Orlando, Orlando, FL D+83
- Harris Branch, Austin, TX D+44
- Bolsa Chica-Heil, Huntington Beach, CA R+10
- Miller Park, Lynchburg, VA D+37
- Car Town, Kannapolis, NC D+10
- Oakdale, Portland, ME D+78
- Williamson Road, Roanoke, VA D+21
- Hedrick Acres, Tucson, AZ D+53
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.