Maynard leans heavily Republican by roughly 48 points: about 26% of voters vote Democratic and 74% Republican.
About 57% of adults in Maynard typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Maynard, ~15% vote Democratic, ~42% Republican, and ~43% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Maynard compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Maynard leans more Republican than 14 of 28 neighbors.
Maynard runs about 52 points more Republican than Minnesota as a whole. Minnesota leans Democratic overall, while Maynard is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Maynard. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+62) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+37), a spread of about 25 points.
Why Maynard leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Maynard, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Maynard votes against the grain of Minnesota. Minnesota leans Democratic overall, while Maynard runs about 52 points more Republican.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; Maynard, MN sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Maynard looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Maynard is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 66%, about 6 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Clara City, MN R+54
- Granite Falls, MN R+38
- Gluek, MN R+56
- Wegdahl, MN R+45
- Sacred Heart, MN R+40
- Montevideo, MN R+26
- Prinsburg, MN R+66
- Renville, MN R+41
- Raymond, MN R+59
- Hanley Falls, MN R+59
Cities with Similar Populations
- Georgesville, OH R+48
- Altamont, MO R+65
- Gagetown, MI R+48
- Greeley, KS R+62
- Hoffman, IL R+56
- Gage, OK R+77
- Jakin, GA R+46
- Pleasant Hill, NC D+27
- Ehrenberg, AZ R+34
- Bethsaida, TX R+79
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Minnesota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.