Mayport is a Republican stronghold. About 16% of voters here vote Democratic and 84% Republican.
About 71% of adults in Mayport typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Mayport, ~11% vote Democratic, ~60% Republican, and ~29% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Mayport compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Mayport leans more Republican than 117 of 155 neighbors.
Mayport runs about 66 points more Republican than Pennsylvania as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Mayport. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+75) and the northwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+63), a spread of about 11 points.
Why Mayport leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Mayport, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Mayport, about 97% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 25 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 16% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 10 points below the Pennsylvania average of 26%.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Mayport, PA sits below the national average on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Mayport looks the way it does
Turnout in Mayport sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Shannondale, PA R+66
- Fairmount City, PA R+64
- Heathville, PA R+73
- Hawthorn, PA R+65
- North Freedom, PA R+73
- Summerville, PA R+67
- Oak Ridge, PA R+70
- Pansy, PA R+74
- Kingsville, PA R+63
- Worthville, PA R+74
Cities with Similar Populations
- Campbellsport, OH R+34
- Hungerford, TX R+25
- Goldsboro, PA R+34
- Stollings, WV R+67
- Jekyll Island, GA R+36
- Oakland, MO R+70
- Rocky Branch, LA R+88
- Unalakleet, AK D+33
- Wareham, MA R+10
- Walton, KS R+45
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Pennsylvania Department of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.