McArthur leans heavily Republican by roughly 48 points: about 26% of voters vote Democratic and 74% Republican.
About 45% of adults in McArthur typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in McArthur, ~12% vote Democratic, ~33% Republican, and ~55% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How McArthur compares
Among cities within 25 miles, McArthur leans more Republican than 33 of 43 neighbors.
McArthur runs about 17 points more Republican than Arkansas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within McArthur. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+68) and the northeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+33), a spread of about 35 points.
Why McArthur leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for McArthur, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 4% of residents in McArthur live in densely developed areas, about 9 points below the Arkansas average of 13%.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; McArthur, AR sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in McArthur looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. McArthur is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 43%, about 8 points below the Arkansas average of 51%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 28% of households in McArthur rent, above 80% of cities. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 34% of adults in McArthur report food insecurity, above 97% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- McGehee, AR R+6
- Tillar, AR R+21
- Reed, AR R+23
- Halley, AR R+65
- Arkansas City, AR R+34
- Halley Junction, AR R+29
- Yukon, AR D+22
- Winchester, AR R+14
- Dermott, AR D+33
Cities with Similar Populations
- Erdman, PA R+67
- Little Milligan, TN R+70
- Ashly, LA R+70
- Balltown, IA R+42
- Khedive, PA R+50
- Wading River, NJ R+38
- Bronco, TX R+71
- Drury, KS R+64
- Cactus Forest, AZ R+44
- North La Junta, CO R+61
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.