Halley Junction leans Republican by roughly 30 points: about 35% of voters vote Democratic and 65% Republican.
About 33% of adults in Halley Junction typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Halley Junction, ~12% vote Democratic, ~21% Republican, and ~67% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Halley Junction compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Halley Junction leans more Republican than 21 of 42 neighbors.
Politically, Halley Junction sits close to the rest of Arkansas.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Halley Junction. The northwest side runs the most Democratic (D+58) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+57), a spread of about 116 points.
Why Halley Junction leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Halley Junction, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 5% of residents in Halley Junction live in densely developed areas, about 8 points below the Arkansas average of 13%. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Halley Junction sits in the bottom quarter (about 10%, below 93% of cities). A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 78% of households in Halley Junction are family households, above 83% of cities.
Population density, never-married share, and Republican lean
Places that combine low population density and a never-married-heavy adult population tend to lean Republican, as Halley Junction, AR does.
Why turnout in Halley Junction looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Halley Junction is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 44%, about 8 points below the Arkansas average of 51%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 31% of households in Halley Junction rent, above 86% of cities. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 26% of adults in Halley Junction report food insecurity, above 92% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Bellaire, AR R+57
- Halley, AR R+65
- Dermott, AR D+33
- McGehee, AR R+6
- McArthur, AR R+48
- Macon Lake, AR R+48
- Montrose, AR R+49
- Arkansas City, AR R+34
- Collins, AR R+41
- Reed, AR R+23
Cities with Similar Populations
- Atlanta, ID R+52
- White Rock, MI R+42
- Moose Junction, WI R+29
- South Montesano, WA R+15
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.