McCaskill is a Republican stronghold. About 22% of voters here vote Democratic and 78% Republican.
About 58% of adults in McCaskill typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in McCaskill, ~13% vote Democratic, ~45% Republican, and ~42% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How McCaskill compares
Among cities within 25 miles, McCaskill leans more Republican than 25 of 44 neighbors.
McCaskill runs about 26 points more Republican than Arkansas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within McCaskill. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+64) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+44), a spread of about 20 points.
Why McCaskill leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for McCaskill, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 5% of residents in McCaskill live in densely developed areas, about 8 points below the Arkansas average of 13%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 78% of households in McCaskill are family households, above 85% of cities.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; McCaskill, AR sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in McCaskill looks the way it does
Turnout in McCaskill sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Blevins, AR R+53
- Roy, AR R+68
- Pisgah, AR R+73
- Ozan, AR R+34
- Delight, AR R+59
- Tokio, AR R+67
- Garlandville, AR R+54
- Murfreesboro, AR R+68
- North Bingen, AR R+65
Cities with Similar Populations
- Moran, TX R+85
- Oceola, OH R+68
- Briar, TX R+67
- Summer City, TN R+70
- Vendor, AR R+73
- Redwood Lodge, CA D+31
- Cavour, SD R+60
- McElveen, MS R+41
- Orchard Hill, GA R+13
- Slades Corner, WI R+34
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.