McNeil leans heavily Republican by roughly 48 points: about 26% of voters vote Democratic and 74% Republican.
About 69% of adults in McNeil typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in McNeil, ~18% vote Democratic, ~51% Republican, and ~31% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How McNeil compares
Among cities within 25 miles, McNeil leans more Republican than 20 of 41 neighbors.
McNeil runs about 35 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within McNeil. The south side is the most Republican-leaning (R+58) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+33), a spread of about 26 points.
Why McNeil leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for McNeil, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 83% of households in McNeil are family households, about 17 points above the U.S. average of 67%.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; McNeil, TX sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in McNeil looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. McNeil is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Luling, TX R+17
- Saturn, TX R+64
- Harwood, TX R+61
- Stairtown, TX R+49
- Tilmon, TX R+60
- Seawillow, TX R+47
- Sandy Fork, TX R+53
- Prairie Lea, TX R+34
- McMahan, TX R+55
- Fentress, TX R+28
Cities with Similar Populations
- Aldenville, PA R+42
- New Canton, IL R+68
- Kinkler, TX R+70
- Tangier, VA R+70
- Upper Mill, PA R+43
- Grand Valley, PA R+56
- Newcomb, NY R+18
- Winifrede, WV R+56
- Granville, ND R+72
- Note, GA R+17
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.