Medina County leans Republican by roughly 26 points: about 37% of voters vote Democratic and 63% Republican.
About 89% of adults in Medina County typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Medina County, ~33% vote Democratic, ~56% Republican, and ~11% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Medina County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Medina County leans more Republican than 7 of 14 neighbors.
Medina County runs about 14 points more Republican than Ohio as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Medina County. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+41) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+19), a spread of about 21 points.
Why Medina County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Medina County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Medina County votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 60%, well above the Ohio average of 34%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 71% of households in Medina County are family households, above 85% of counties.
High-school completion, uninsured rate, and voter turnout
Places that combine high-school-completion-heavy adults and a low uninsured rate tend to turn out at a higher rate, as Medina County, OH does.
Why turnout in Medina County looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Medina County is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 69%, about 9 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 82% of households in Medina County own their home, above 87% of counties. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 94% of adults in Medina County have completed high school, above 87% of counties. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Summit County, OH D+10
- Wayne County, OH R+42
- Lorain County, OH R+5
- Cuyahoga County, OH D+35
- Portage County, OH R+12
- Ashland County, OH R+50
- Stark County, OH R+18
- Geauga County, OH R+30
- Holmes County, OH R+72
- Huron County, OH R+44
Counties with Similar Populations
- Shasta County, CA R+30
- Ulster County, NY D+16
- Kent County, DE D+5
- Peoria County, IL D+14
- Boone County, MO D+14
- Kanawha County, WV R+19
- Cass County, ND R+5
- Washington County, UT R+51
- Vanderburgh County, IN R+9
- Johnson County, TX R+50
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Ohio Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.