Middle Creek is a Republican stronghold. About 14% of voters here vote Democratic and 86% Republican.
About 69% of adults in Middle Creek typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Middle Creek, ~10% vote Democratic, ~59% Republican, and ~31% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Middle Creek compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Middle Creek leans more Republican than 107 of 108 neighbors.
Middle Creek runs about 70 points more Republican than Pennsylvania as a whole.
Why Middle Creek leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Middle Creek, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Middle Creek, about 97% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 25 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 13% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 13 points below the Pennsylvania average of 26%. Car-dependent areas vote Republican, and about 87% of residents in Middle Creek drive to work alone, above 88% of cities.
Foreign-born share and voter turnout
Places with a low foreign-born share tend to turn out in mixed patterns; Middle Creek, PA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Middle Creek looks the way it does
Turnout in Middle Creek sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Benfer, PA R+72
- Crossgrove, PA R+75
- Beaver Springs, PA R+72
- Troxelville, PA R+71
- Beavertown, PA R+68
- Weikert, PA R+65
- McClure, PA R+69
- Wagner, PA R+67
- McAlisterville, PA R+66
- Millmont, PA R+66
Cities with Similar Populations
- Womack, LA R+82
- Maunie, IL R+68
- Clarksburg, MA Even
- Three Lakes, MI R+32
- Tidwell, TX R+64
- Collinsburg, LA R+12
- Clyde, PA R+56
- Terry Creek, TN R+75
- Cotula, TN R+73
- Conway, IA R+52
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Pennsylvania Department of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.