Middle Village leans slightly Republican by roughly 12 points: about 44% of voters vote Democratic and 56% Republican.
About 88% of adults in Middle Village typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Middle Village, ~39% vote Democratic, ~49% Republican, and ~12% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Middle Village compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Middle Village leans more Republican than 5 of 32 neighbors.
Middle Village runs about 10 points more Republican than Michigan as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Middle Village. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+16) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+5), a spread of about 11 points.
Why Middle Village leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Middle Village, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 4% of residents in Middle Village live in densely developed areas, about 27 points below the Michigan average of 31%.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Middle Village, MI sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Middle Village looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Middle Village is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 76%, about 16 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 94% of households in Middle Village own their home, about 19 points above the U.S. average of 75%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Harbor Springs, MI R+3
- Cross Village, MI R+15
- Pellston, MI R+33
- Oden, MI R+27
- Bay Shore, MI R+11
- Conway, MI R+22
- Petoskey, MI Even
- Burgess, MI R+10
- Weadock, MI R+35
- Zenith Heights, MI R+15
Cities with Similar Populations
- Hackney, KS R+40
- Lewis Store, TN R+69
- Medina, MI R+52
- Boss, MO R+73
- Walhain, WI R+43
- Kirby, WV R+66
- Memphis, OH R+68
- Mitchelltown, AL R+65
- Range, AL R+74
- Saratoga, AR R+8
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Michigan Department of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.