Middle Village, Queens, NY Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Middle Village

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Middle Village leans Republican by roughly 22 points: about 39% of voters vote Democratic and 61% Republican.

 

About 51% of adults in Middle Village typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Middle Village, ~20% vote Democratic, ~31% Republican, and ~49% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Middle Village compares

Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Middle Village leans more Republican than 32 of 33 neighbors.

Middle Village runs about 35 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Middle Village is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.

Politics vary noticeably by block within Middle Village. The southwest side is the most split-leaning (R+34) and the northeast side is the least split-leaning (Even), a spread of about 34 points.

Why Middle Village leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Middle Village, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Middle Village votes Republican even though it is densely developed (more than 99%, far above the New York average of 36%). Here an older population outweighs the Democratic lean that density usually predicts. Middle Village runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.

High-school completion, developed land, and voter turnout

Places that combine low high-school-completion share and a heavily developed built environment tend to turn out at a lower rate, as Middle Village, Queens, NY does.

Why turnout in Middle Village looks the way it does

Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout. About 6% of homes in Middle Village have more than one occupant per room, above 81% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.