Middletown Center is a Republican stronghold. About 25% of voters here vote Democratic and 75% Republican.
About 67% of adults in Middletown Center typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Middletown Center, ~17% vote Democratic, ~50% Republican, and ~33% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Middletown Center compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Middletown Center leans more Republican than 61 of 112 neighbors.
Middletown Center runs about 49 points more Republican than Pennsylvania as a whole.
Why Middletown Center leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Middletown Center, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 85% of residents in Middletown Center drive to work alone, about 11 points above the U.S. average of 74%. A high white share with below-average college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Middletown Center fits that profile on both counts.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Middletown Center, PA sits below the national average on this measure.
Why turnout in Middletown Center looks the way it does
Turnout in Middletown Center sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Neath, PA R+59
- Friendsville, PA R+51
- Le Raysville, PA R+61
- Lawton, PA R+54
- St. Joseph, PA R+47
- Warren Center, PA R+60
- Forest Lake, PA R+50
- Little Meadows, PA R+53
- Potterville, PA R+61
- Rush, PA R+55
Cities with Similar Populations
- Sweden, PA R+60
- Alloy, WV R+51
- Roxana, KY R+67
- Pine Hurst Park, NC D+12
- Wetaug, IL R+44
- St. Joe, WV R+65
- State Park Place, IL D+12
- Starr, UT R+83
- Seanor, PA R+59
- Fox Creek, CO R+8
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Pennsylvania Department of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.