Midvale Heights is a Democratic stronghold. About 88% of voters here vote Democratic and 12% Republican.
About 95% of adults in Midvale Heights typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Midvale Heights, ~84% vote Democratic, ~11% Republican, and ~5% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Midvale Heights compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Midvale Heights leans more Democratic than 12 of 16 neighbors.
Midvale Heights runs about 77 points more Democratic than Wisconsin as a whole. Wisconsin is roughly evenly split, and Midvale Heights sits clearly on the Democratic side.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Midvale Heights. The east side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+86) and the west side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+69), a spread of about 17 points.
Why Midvale Heights leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Midvale Heights, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 79% of adults in Midvale Heights hold a bachelor's degree, about 51 points above the U.S. average of 28%. Midvale Heights runs against the grain of Wisconsin, a Democratic-leaning outlier in a roughly evenly split state.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Midvale Heights, Madison, WI sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Midvale Heights looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Midvale Heights is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 76%, about 16 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 85% of households in Midvale Heights own their home, compared to around 48% in nearby neighborhoods. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and more than 99% of adults in Midvale Heights have completed high school, above 94% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Hill Farms-University Neighborh, Madison, WI D+81
- Sunset Village, Madison, WI D+84
- Dunn's Marsh, Madison, WI D+61
- Dudgeon-Monroe, Madison, WI D+87
- Meadowood, Madison, WI D+62
- Regent, Madison, WI D+75
- Prairie Hills, Madison, WI D+64
- Greenbush, Madison, WI D+71
- South Campus, Madison, WI D+51
- Wexford, Madison, WI D+63
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Hopkins Fitch Grant, Holly Hill, FL R+4
- Canyon Park, Bothell, WA D+22
- Cedar Ridge, Waco, TX R+7
- Hillside, Coral Hills, MD D+85
- Heather Ridge, Aurora, CO D+35
- North Willow Farms, Indianapolis, IN D+49
- Second Creek, Mobile, AL R+21
- Skybrook, Huntersville, NC D+7
- Stony Creek, Ken Caryl, CO D+7
- Everett, Lincoln, NE D+40
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Wisconsin Elections Commission, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.