Hopkins Fitch Grant, Holly Hill, FL Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Hopkins Fitch Grant

Hopkins Fitch Grant is a true toss-up. About 48% of voters here vote Democratic and 52% Republican.

 
Hopkins Fitch Grant, Holly Hill, FL block-group political-lean map
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About 57% of adults in Hopkins Fitch Grant typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Hopkins Fitch Grant, ~27% vote Democratic, ~30% Republican, and ~43% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

Hopkins Fitch Grant, Holly Hill, FL block-group voter-turnout map
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How Hopkins Fitch Grant compares

Hopkins Fitch Grant sits in a sparsely populated area with few comparable neighborhoods nearby.

Hopkins Fitch Grant runs about 9 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole.

Politics vary noticeably by block within Hopkins Fitch Grant. The northwest side runs the most Democratic (D+6) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (R+16), a spread of about 22 points.

Why Hopkins Fitch Grant leans the way it does

Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Hopkins Fitch Grant. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.

Preventive-care access and voter turnout

Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Hopkins Fitch Grant, Holly Hill, FL sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.

Why turnout in Hopkins Fitch Grant looks the way it does

High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, mostly because the housing stress common in those areas makes voting harder. Hopkins Fitch Grant sits in the top 15% nationally on a violent-crime measure. See CrimeGrade for more details. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.