Midwest is a Republican stronghold. About 12% of voters here vote Democratic and 88% Republican.
About 32% of adults in Midwest typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Midwest, ~4% vote Democratic, ~28% Republican, and ~68% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Midwest compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Midwest leans more Republican than 2 of 6 neighbors.
Midwest runs about 29 points more Republican than Wyoming as a whole.
Why Midwest leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Midwest, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Midwest, about 95% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 22 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 12% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 16 points below the Wyoming average of 27%. Rural areas vote Republican, and Midwest sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 2%, below 96% of cities).
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Midwest, WY sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Midwest looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Midwest is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Edgerton, WY R+75
- Linch, WY R+80
- Red Buttes Village, WY R+77
- Sussex, WY R+83
- Paradise Valley, WY R+77
- Kaycee, WY R+84
- Bar Nunn, WY R+64
- Evansville, WY R+59
- Natrona, WY R+81
Cities with Similar Populations
- Myrtle, MO R+69
- Winterville, MS R+48
- Mason, OK R+70
- Moose, WY D+10
- Elmo, MO R+66
- Port Hudson, MO R+55
- Smolan, KS R+66
- Middleburg, MD R+44
- Cape May Point, NJ D+4
- Fairport, MI R+28
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Wyoming Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.