Paradise Valley is a Republican stronghold. About 11% of voters here vote Democratic and 89% Republican.
About 35% of adults in Paradise Valley typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Paradise Valley, ~4% vote Democratic, ~31% Republican, and ~65% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Paradise Valley compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Paradise Valley leans more Republican than 9 of 10 neighbors.
Paradise Valley runs about 31 points more Republican than Wyoming as a whole.
Why Paradise Valley leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Paradise Valley, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Paradise Valley, about 95% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 23 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 17% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 11 points below the Wyoming average of 27%.
Developed land and Republican lean
Places with a rural land-use pattern tend to lean Republican; Paradise Valley, WY sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Developed land does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Paradise Valley looks the way it does
Turnout in Paradise Valley sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Red Buttes Village, WY R+77
- Bar Nunn, WY R+64
- Evansville, WY R+59
- Mills, WY R+57
- Casper, WY R+37
- Natrona, WY R+81
- Parkerton, WY R+67
- Midwest, WY R+75
- Edgerton, WY R+75
Cities with Similar Populations
- Adrian, WA R+49
- Wetmore, OR R+49
- Kirklands Crossroads, AL R+66
- Kinzua, OR R+49
- Intracoastal City, LA R+83
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Wyoming Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.