Elmo is a Republican stronghold. About 17% of voters here vote Democratic and 83% Republican.
About 69% of adults in Elmo typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Elmo, ~12% vote Democratic, ~57% Republican, and ~31% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Elmo compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Elmo leans more Republican than 32 of 37 neighbors.
Elmo runs about 48 points more Republican than Missouri as a whole.
Why Elmo leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Elmo, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Elmo, about 94% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 22 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 16% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 6 points below the Missouri average of 22%. Rural areas vote Republican, and Elmo sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 5%, below 79% of cities).
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Elmo, MO sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Elmo looks the way it does
High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 96% of adults in Elmo have completed high school, above 82% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Burlington Junction, MO R+65
- Blanchard, IA R+57
- Clearmont, MO R+66
- Braddyville, IA R+58
- College Springs, IA R+58
- Westboro, MO R+67
- Coin, IA R+57
- Shambaugh, IA R+56
- Northboro, IA R+54
- Wilcox, MO R+59
Cities with Similar Populations
- Mason, OK R+70
- Cruppers Corner, KS R+63
- Pierceville, IN R+60
- Middleburg, MD R+44
- North Parsonfield, ME R+28
- Coburg, KY R+69
- Locke, AR R+65
- Pocahontas, MO R+73
- Congo, AL R+83
- Midwest, WY R+75
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Missouri Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.