Minturn, AR Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Minturn

Minturn is a Republican stronghold. About 17% of voters here vote Democratic and 83% Republican.

 
Minturn, AR block-group political-lean map
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About 51% of adults in Minturn typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Minturn, ~9% vote Democratic, ~43% Republican, and ~48% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

Minturn, AR block-group voter-turnout map
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How Minturn compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Minturn leans more Republican than 17 of 54 neighbors.

Minturn runs about 35 points more Republican than Arkansas as a whole.

Why Minturn leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Minturn, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 7% of adults in Minturn hold a bachelor's degree, about 11 points below the Arkansas average of 18%. Car-dependent areas vote Republican, and about 89% of residents in Minturn drive to work alone, above 91% of cities.

Preventive-care access and voter turnout

Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Minturn, AR sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.

Why turnout in Minturn looks the way it does

Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Minturn is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 46%, about 6 points below the Arkansas average of 51%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 35% of households in Minturn rent, above 90% of cities. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 24% of adults in Minturn report food insecurity, above 89% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Cities with Similar Populations

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.