Mist is a Republican stronghold. About 7% of voters here vote Democratic and 93% Republican.
About 59% of adults in Mist typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Mist, ~4% vote Democratic, ~55% Republican, and ~41% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Mist compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Mist leans more Republican than 32 of 33 neighbors.
Mist runs about 56 points more Republican than Arkansas as a whole.
Why Mist leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Mist, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 4% of residents in Mist live in densely developed areas, about 9 points below the Arkansas average of 13%. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Mist sits in the bottom quarter (about 12%, below 87% of cities).
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Mist, AR sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Mist looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Mist is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 47%, about 13 points below the U.S. average of 60%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 25% of adults in Mist report food insecurity, above 90% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Bovine, AR R+72
- Hamburg, AR R+66
- Thebes, AR R+84
- Old Milo, AR R+67
- Fountain Hill, AR R+71
- Parkdale, AR R+47
- Ladelle, AR R+61
- Berlin, AR R+86
- Milo, AR R+80
Cities with Similar Populations
- Saranac Inn, NY R+9
- Ferguson Crossroads, AR R+79
- Booth, AL R+25
- Spotville, AR R+52
- Harbor View, OH R+39
- Harding, MN R+68
- Mosher, SD R+61
- Womack, MO R+64
- South Corinth, NY R+31
- Brummitt, AR R+69
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.