Moapa Valley is a Republican stronghold. About 24% of voters here vote Democratic and 76% Republican.
About 79% of adults in Moapa Valley typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Moapa Valley, ~19% vote Democratic, ~60% Republican, and ~21% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Moapa Valley compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Moapa Valley leans more Republican than 1 of 6 neighbors.
Moapa Valley runs about 49 points more Republican than Nevada as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Moapa Valley. The north side is the most Republican-leaning (R+68) and the southeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+32), a spread of about 36 points.
Why Moapa Valley leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Moapa Valley, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Moapa Valley votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 36%, modestly below the Nevada average of 44%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 78% of households in Moapa Valley are family households, above 84% of cities.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Moapa Valley, NV sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Moapa Valley looks the way it does
Turnout in Moapa Valley sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Logandale, NV R+61
- Overton, NV R+60
- Moapa, NV R+30
- Riverside, NV R+63
- Bunkerville, NV R+60
- Mesquite, NV R+19
- Scenic, AZ R+44
- Littlefield, AZ R+59
- Beaver Dam, AZ R+51
Cities with Similar Populations
- Columbiaville, MI R+39
- Ijamsville, MD D+4
- Woodside, CA D+46
- Bennett, CO R+45
- Sanford, MI R+30
- Taylor, PA R+2
- Lolo, MT R+17
- Larkspur, CO R+22
- Braidwood, IL R+32
- Colona, IL R+23
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Nevada Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.