Moapa leans heavily Republican by roughly 30 points: about 35% of voters vote Democratic and 65% Republican.
About 46% of adults in Moapa typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Moapa, ~16% vote Democratic, ~30% Republican, and ~54% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Moapa compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Moapa is the least Republican-leaning.
Moapa runs about 27 points more Republican than Nevada as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Moapa. The southwest side runs the most Democratic (D+26) and the west side runs the most Republican (R+44), a spread of about 70 points.
Why Moapa leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Moapa, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. Fewer than 1% of residents in Moapa live in densely developed areas, about 43 points below the Nevada average of 44%. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Moapa sits in the bottom quarter (about 13%, below 85% of cities). A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 76% of households in Moapa are family households, above 78% of cities.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Moapa, NV sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Moapa looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Moapa is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 21% of adults in Moapa report food insecurity, above 83% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Logandale, NV R+61
- Moapa Valley, NV R+52
- Overton, NV R+60
- Riverside, NV R+63
- Bunkerville, NV R+60
- Mesquite, NV R+19
- Scenic, AZ R+44
- Nellis Afb, NV D+22
- Beaver Dam, AZ R+51
Cities with Similar Populations
- Chico, WA D+19
- Warman, MN R+55
- Omer, MI R+44
- Palmer, TN R+68
- Wakefield, KS R+62
- Point Roberts, WA D+27
- Hot Springs, VA R+51
- Polonia, WI R+25
- Nelson, GA R+63
- New London, TX R+67
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Nevada Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.