Modena is a Republican stronghold. About 15% of voters here vote Democratic and 85% Republican.
About 70% of adults in Modena typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Modena, ~10% vote Democratic, ~60% Republican, and ~30% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Modena compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Modena leans more Republican than 11 of 34 neighbors.
Modena runs about 51 points more Republican than Missouri as a whole.
Why Modena leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Modena, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Modena, about 95% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 22 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 15% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 7 points below the Missouri average of 22%.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Modena, MO sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Modena looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 91% of households in Modena own their home, about 12 points above the Missouri average of 78%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Mill Grove, MO R+69
- Mount Moriah, MO R+75
- Spickard, MO R+70
- Princeton, MO R+69
- Brimson, MO R+70
- Melbourne, MO R+73
- Tindall, MO R+68
- Cainsville, MO R+73
- Blue Ridge, MO R+75
- Gilman City, MO R+72
Cities with Similar Populations
- Pinedale, NM D+7
- Cardin, OK R+60
- Hatchetville, TX R+77
- Burney, IN R+64
- Burlington, OK R+81
- Hamburg, VA R+52
- San Miguel, AZ D+79
- Woodside, OH R+40
- Bolair, WV R+73
- Palmers Crossroads, AL R+74
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Missouri Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.