Montgomery Center leans Republican by roughly 18 points: about 41% of voters vote Democratic and 59% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Vermont did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 85% of adults in Montgomery Center typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Montgomery Center, ~35% vote Democratic, ~50% Republican, and ~15% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Montgomery Center compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Montgomery Center leans more Republican than 26 of 57 neighbors.
Montgomery Center runs about 51 points more Republican than Vermont as a whole. Vermont leans Democratic overall, while Montgomery Center is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Montgomery Center. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+28) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+17), a spread of about 11 points.
Why Montgomery Center leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Montgomery Center, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Montgomery Center votes against the grain of Vermont. Vermont leans Democratic overall, while Montgomery Center runs about 51 points more Republican.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Montgomery Center, VT sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Montgomery Center looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 97% of adults in Montgomery Center have completed high school, about 7 points above the U.S. average of 90%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- East Enosburg, VT R+27
- Westfield, VT R+29
- Lowell, VT R+25
- East Berkshire, VT R+40
- Richford, VT R+27
- Enosburg Falls, VT R+31
- Eden, VT R+29
- Belvidere Center, VT R+18
- Eden Mills, VT R+29
- Troy, VT R+35
Cities with Similar Populations
- Slagle, MO R+66
- Plum Point, VA R+34
- Marysburg, MN R+30
- Herron, MI R+47
- Arapaho, OK R+70
- Leo, SC R+19
- Eldorado, NC R+69
- New Greenleaf, MI R+52
- Thompson, WI R+34
- Spruce Head, ME D+5
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Vermont Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. VT did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.