Mount Carroll leans heavily Republican by roughly 32 points: about 34% of voters vote Democratic and 66% Republican.
About 71% of adults in Mount Carroll typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Mount Carroll, ~24% vote Democratic, ~47% Republican, and ~29% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Mount Carroll compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Mount Carroll leans more Republican than 11 of 53 neighbors.
Mount Carroll runs about 43 points more Republican than Illinois as a whole. Illinois leans Democratic overall, while Mount Carroll is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Mount Carroll leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Mount Carroll, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Mount Carroll votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 27%, modestly below the Illinois average of 33%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. Mount Carroll runs against the grain of Illinois, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Mount Carroll, IL sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Mount Carroll looks the way it does
Turnout in Mount Carroll sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Center Hill, IL R+34
- Daggett, IL R+37
- Palsgrove, IL R+41
- Wacker, IL R+34
- Lanark, IL R+37
- Savanna, IL R+25
- Chadwick, IL R+42
- Thomson, IL R+38
- Sabula, IA R+44
- Fair Haven, IL R+37
Cities with Similar Populations
- Superior, NE R+56
- Bryantown, MD R+9
- Lynnwood-Pricedale, PA R+28
- Rolling Hills, CA D+2
- Grand Isle, VT D+13
- Hollis, OK R+49
- Neshkoro, WI R+36
- West Union, WV R+66
- Kewadin, MI R+8
- Kingsville, OH R+42
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Illinois State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.