Mt Vernon Square is a Democratic stronghold. About 87% of voters here vote Democratic and 13% Republican.
About 62% of adults in Mt Vernon Square typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Mt Vernon Square, ~54% vote Democratic, ~8% Republican, and ~38% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Mt Vernon Square compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Mt Vernon Square leans more Democratic than 19 of 49 neighbors.
Mt Vernon Square runs about 9 points more Republican than the District of Columbia as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Mt Vernon Square. The northeast side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+80) and the west side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+69), a spread of about 11 points.
Why Mt Vernon Square leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Mt Vernon Square, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in Mt Vernon Square live in densely developed areas, about 64 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and Mt Vernon Square sits in the top quarter (about 82%, above 98% of neighborhoods). A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 66% of adults in Mt Vernon Square have never been married, above 96% of neighborhoods.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Mt Vernon Square, Washington, DC sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Mt Vernon Square looks the way it does
Turnout in Mt Vernon Square sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Downtown, Washington, DC D+71
- Shaw, Washington, DC D+84
- Logan Circle, Washington, DC D+77
- Ledroit Park, Washington, DC D+88
- U Street Corridor, Washington, DC D+80
- Capitol Hill, Washington, DC D+77
- Dupont Circle, Washington, DC D+78
- Stanton Park, Washington, DC D+84
- Foggy Bottom, Washington, DC D+69
- Adams Morgan, Washington, DC D+83
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Beverly, Toledo, OH D+19
- Iowa State University, Ames, IA D+22
- Westside Community Betterment, Springfield, MO R+12
- Rossmoyne, Glendale, CA D+13
- Windsor Hills, Austin, TX D+55
- Victoria, Riverside, CA D+3
- Downtown East, Las Vegas, NV D+36
- West End, Atlanta, GA D+85
- Southside, Easton, PA D+29
- Walker, Maywood, CA D+39
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from District of Columbia Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.