Muncie is a Republican stronghold. About 22% of voters here vote Democratic and 78% Republican.
About 70% of adults in Muncie typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Muncie, ~15% vote Democratic, ~55% Republican, and ~30% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Muncie compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Muncie leans more Republican than 35 of 68 neighbors.
Muncie runs about 67 points more Republican than Illinois as a whole. Illinois leans Democratic overall, while Muncie is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Muncie leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Muncie, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Muncie, about 99% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 27 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 17% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 10 points below the Illinois average of 27%. Muncie runs against the grain of Illinois, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Housing overcrowding and voter turnout
Places with low overcrowding tend to turn out at a higher rate; Muncie, IL sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Muncie looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 97% of adults in Muncie have completed high school, about 5 points above the Illinois average of 92%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Fithian, IL R+55
- Brothers, IL R+55
- Fairmount, IL R+56
- Oakwood, IL R+49
- Ogden, IL R+50
- Newtown, IL R+58
- Hope, IL R+54
- Catlin, IL R+48
- Homer, IL R+38
- Collison, IL R+56
Cities with Similar Populations
- Youmans, FL R+58
- Eden, IL R+49
- Penland, TX R+72
- Uva, WY R+70
- Sandy Ridge, AL R+12
- Pullman, WV R+69
- Brownbranch, MO R+73
- Vance, MS D+6
- Nora, IL R+42
- Petersburg, MN R+53
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Illinois State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.