Nacogdoches leans Republican by roughly 16 points: about 42% of voters vote Democratic and 58% Republican.
About 53% of adults in Nacogdoches typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Nacogdoches, ~22% vote Democratic, ~31% Republican, and ~47% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Nacogdoches compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Nacogdoches is the least Republican-leaning.
Politically, Nacogdoches sits close to the rest of Texas.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Nacogdoches. The west side runs the most Democratic (D+5) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+56), a spread of about 61 points.
Why Nacogdoches leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Nacogdoches, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Nacogdoches votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 49%, modestly above the Texas average of 35%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Never-married share, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine a never-married-heavy adult population and a heavily developed built environment tend to turn out at a lower rate, as Nacogdoches, TX does.
Why turnout in Nacogdoches looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Nacogdoches is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 47%, about 6 points below the Texas average of 54%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 49% of households in Nacogdoches rent, compared to around 18% in nearby cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Orton Hill, TX R+36
- Martinsville, TX R+39
- Appleby, TX R+66
- Swift, TX R+66
- Douglass, TX R+71
- Melrose, TX R+75
- Davisville, TX R+58
- Looneyville, TX R+72
- Grigsby, TX R+77
- Fitze, TX R+78
Cities with Similar Populations
- Attleboro, MA D+7
- Valley Village, CA D+44
- Strongsville, OH R+6
- Del Rio, TX R+11
- Casselberry, FL R+4
- Lake Ridge, VA D+26
- Brunswick, GA R+13
- Coral Gables, FL D+3
- Austell, GA D+58
- Jamesburg, NJ R+4
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.