Coral Gables, FL Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Coral Gables

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Coral Gables is a true toss-up. About 51% of voters here vote Democratic and 49% Republican.

 

About 73% of adults in Coral Gables typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Coral Gables, ~37% vote Democratic, ~36% Republican, and ~27% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Coral Gables compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Coral Gables sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 49 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 30 leaning the other way.

Coral Gables runs about 16 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while Coral Gables sits closer to the political middle.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Coral Gables. The southwest side runs the most Democratic (D+15) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+9), a spread of about 24 points.

Why Coral Gables leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Coral Gables, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Coral Gables votes against the grain of Florida. Florida leans Republican overall, while Coral Gables runs about 16 points more Democratic.

Paved land cover and Democratic lean

Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Coral Gables, FL sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.

Why turnout in Coral Gables looks the way it does

Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 96% of adults in Coral Gables have completed high school, about 7 points above the Florida average of 89%. Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and Coral Gables sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.