Nellis Afb, NV Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Nellis Afb

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Nellis Afb leans Democratic by roughly 22 points: about 61% of voters vote Democratic and 39% Republican.

 

About 42% of adults in Nellis Afb typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Nellis Afb, ~26% vote Democratic, ~16% Republican, and ~58% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Nellis Afb compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Nellis Afb leans more Democratic than 10 of 12 neighbors.

Nellis Afb runs about 25 points more Democratic than Nevada as a whole. Nevada leans Republican overall, while Nellis Afb is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Nellis Afb. The southwest side runs the most Democratic (D+35) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (R+4), a spread of about 39 points.

Why Nellis Afb leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Nellis Afb, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Dense areas vote Democratic. About 93% of residents in Nellis Afb live in densely developed areas, about 57 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 48% of adults in Nellis Afb have never been married, above 97% of cities. Nellis Afb runs against the grain of Nevada, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.

Walkability and Democratic lean

Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Nellis Afb, NV sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.

Why turnout in Nellis Afb looks the way it does

Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Nellis Afb is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 45%, about 13 points below the Nevada average of 58%. Renters vote less often than owners, and more than 99% of households in Nellis Afb rent, compared to around 39% in nearby cities. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 32% of adults in Nellis Afb report food insecurity, above 96% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Nevada Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.