New Baltimore leans Republican by roughly 26 points: about 37% of voters vote Democratic and 63% Republican.
About 87% of adults in New Baltimore typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in New Baltimore, ~32% vote Democratic, ~55% Republican, and ~13% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How New Baltimore compares
Among cities within 25 miles, New Baltimore leans more Republican than 37 of 73 neighbors.
New Baltimore runs about 24 points more Republican than Michigan as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within New Baltimore. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+33) and the west side is the least Republican-leaning (R+14), a spread of about 19 points.
Why New Baltimore leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for New Baltimore, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
New Baltimore votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 76%, far above the Michigan average of 31%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; New Baltimore, MI sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in New Baltimore looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. New Baltimore is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 72%, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- New Haven, MI R+26
- Sebille Manor, MI R+24
- Fair Haven, MI R+36
- Mount Clemens, MI D+13
- Macomb, MI R+28
- Harrison Township, MI R+11
- Muttonville, MI R+48
- Pearl Beach, MI R+30
- Casco, MI R+45
- Ray, MI R+50
Cities with Similar Populations
- St. Clair Shores, MI R+10
- Massillon, OH R+20
- Columbia, TN R+33
- New Brunswick, NJ D+40
- Falls Church, VA D+42
- Bonita Springs, FL R+24
- Pinellas Park, FL R+12
- Conway, SC R+31
- Kaneohe, HI D+21
- Newark, OH R+27
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Michigan Department of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.