New Hampden leans heavily Republican by roughly 44 points: about 28% of voters vote Democratic and 72% Republican.
About 74% of adults in New Hampden typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in New Hampden, ~21% vote Democratic, ~53% Republican, and ~26% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How New Hampden compares
Among cities within 25 miles, New Hampden leans more Republican than 1 of 45 neighbors.
New Hampden runs about 50 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while New Hampden is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why New Hampden leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for New Hampden, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
New Hampden votes against the grain of Virginia. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while New Hampden runs about 50 points more Republican. Rural areas with a high white share vote Republican. Non-Hispanic white share in New Hampden is about 96%, about 24 points above the U.S. average of 72%.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; New Hampden, VA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in New Hampden looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. New Hampden is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 68%, about 8 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Blue Grass, VA R+44
- Monterey, VA R+44
- Hightown, VA R+44
- Doe Hill, VA R+51
- Vanderpool, VA R+44
- Thornwood, WV R+65
- Moatstown, WV R+60
- Circleville, WV R+69
- Moyers, WV R+62
Cities with Similar Populations
- Mc Leod, MT R+53
- Oakville, NC R+3
- Palo Verde, CA R+8
- Libby, OR R+22
- Fishhook, IL R+62
- Teterton, WV R+72
- McVille, PA R+56
- Plover, IA R+50
- Roseglen, ND D+3
- Mount Victoria, MD R+26
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.