Oakville is a true toss-up. About 48% of voters here vote Democratic and 52% Republican.
About 77% of adults in Oakville typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Oakville, ~37% vote Democratic, ~40% Republican, and ~23% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Oakville compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Oakville leans more Republican than 33 of 65 neighbors.
Politically, Oakville sits close to the rest of North Carolina.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Oakville. The north side runs the most Democratic (D+11) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+29), a spread of about 41 points.
Why Oakville leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Oakville. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Oakville, NC sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Oakville looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Oakville is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 60%, below 57% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Macon, NC R+19
- Warren Plains, NC D+42
- Bracey, VA R+42
- Oine, NC D+18
- Embro, NC D+9
- Ebony, VA R+28
- Norlina, NC D+15
- Warrenton, NC D+34
- Palmer Springs, VA R+34
Cities with Similar Populations
- Mc Leod, MT R+53
- Pleasant Lane, SC R+18
- Pennine, TN R+70
- Upalco, UT R+90
- Ione, CO R+47
- Teterton, WV R+72
- New Hampden, VA R+44
- Winston, NM R+43
- Golden Corners, OH R+59
- Eufaula Heights, WA R+27
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from North Carolina State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.