New Hope is a Republican stronghold. About 15% of voters here vote Democratic and 85% Republican.
About 72% of adults in New Hope typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in New Hope, ~11% vote Democratic, ~61% Republican, and ~28% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How New Hope compares
Among cities within 25 miles, New Hope leans more Republican than 17 of 39 neighbors.
New Hope runs about 57 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within New Hope. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+83) and the southeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+41), a spread of about 41 points.
Why New Hope leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for New Hope, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 90% of residents in New Hope drive to work alone, about 16 points above the U.S. average of 74%.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; New Hope, FL sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in New Hope looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. New Hope is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 50%, about 7 points below the Florida average of 56%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Cerrogordo, FL R+80
- Westville, FL R+79
- Hickory Hill, FL R+81
- Caryville, FL R+61
- Prosperity, FL R+81
- Izagora, FL R+43
- Noma, FL R+77
- Bonifay, FL R+65
- Leonia, FL R+80
- Whitehead Crossroads, FL R+66
Cities with Similar Populations
- Wilcox, PA R+50
- Galeton, CO R+61
- Mead, NE R+52
- Sontag, MS R+3
- Upton, GA R+39
- Nome, TX R+63
- Jane, MO R+71
- Atlanta, LA R+54
- Jersey City, WI R+33
- Springdale, TX R+55
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.