Caryville is a Republican stronghold. About 20% of voters here vote Democratic and 80% Republican.
About 74% of adults in Caryville typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Caryville, ~15% vote Democratic, ~59% Republican, and ~26% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Caryville compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Caryville leans more Republican than 10 of 36 neighbors.
Caryville runs about 48 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Caryville. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+79) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+43), a spread of about 36 points.
Why Caryville leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Caryville, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 6% of adults in Caryville hold a bachelor's degree, about 25 points below the Florida average of 31%.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Caryville, FL sits below the national average on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Caryville looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Caryville is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 44%, about 13 points below the Florida average of 56%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Izagora, FL R+43
- Whitehead Crossroads, FL R+66
- Cerrogordo, FL R+80
- New Hope, FL R+70
- Hinsons Crossroads, FL R+63
- Bonifay, FL R+65
- Noma, FL R+77
- Hickory Hill, FL R+81
- Ponce de Leon, FL R+70
- Westville, FL R+79
Cities with Similar Populations
- Peterson, MN R+32
- Cambridge, ID R+75
- Hayesville, OH R+58
- Dewar, OK R+58
- Raymondville, MO R+69
- Clinton, MN R+37
- Wyndale, VA R+61
- Kings Station, NY D+5
- Brush Creek, TN R+67
- Republic, MI R+17
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.