New Hope leans heavily Democratic by roughly 36 points: about 68% of voters vote Democratic and 32% Republican.
About 76% of adults in New Hope typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in New Hope, ~52% vote Democratic, ~24% Republican, and ~24% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How New Hope compares
Among cities within 25 miles, New Hope leans more Democratic than 102 of 116 neighbors.
New Hope runs about 32 points more Democratic than Minnesota as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within New Hope. The northeast side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+45) and the west side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+31), a spread of about 14 points.
Why New Hope leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for New Hope, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in New Hope live in densely developed areas, about 63 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and New Hope sits in the top quarter (about 37%, above 84% of cities). A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 35% of adults in New Hope have never been married, above 87% of cities.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; New Hope, MN sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in New Hope looks the way it does
Turnout in New Hope sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Crystal, MN D+34
- Robbinsdale, MN D+46
- Golden Valley, MN D+44
- Medicine Lake, MN D+41
- Plymouth, MN D+30
- Brooklyn Center, MN D+40
- Brooklyn Park, MN D+37
- Maple Grove, MN D+18
- St. Louis Park, MN D+51
- Hilltop, MN D+27
Cities with Similar Populations
- East Ridge, TN R+18
- West Carson, CA D+25
- Rancho San Diego, CA R+18
- Merrick, NY R+6
- Grayslake, IL D+21
- Hammonton, NJ R+23
- Socastee, SC R+31
- Massapequa, NY R+39
- Windermere, FL R+13
- Ensley, FL R+5
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Minnesota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.