New Ulm is a Republican stronghold. About 16% of voters here vote Democratic and 84% Republican.
About 79% of adults in New Ulm typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in New Ulm, ~13% vote Democratic, ~66% Republican, and ~21% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How New Ulm compares
Among cities within 25 miles, New Ulm leans more Republican than 40 of 46 neighbors.
New Ulm runs about 55 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Why New Ulm leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in New Ulm. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; New Ulm, TX sits below the national average on this measure.
Why turnout in New Ulm looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 90% of households in New Ulm own their home, about 16 points above the Texas average of 75%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Industry, TX R+67
- Rek Hill, TX R+74
- Fayetteville, TX R+71
- Mentz, TX R+66
- Nelsonville, TX R+66
- Bleiblerville, TX R+67
- Alleyton, TX R+62
- Cat Spring, TX R+65
- Ellinger, TX R+69
- Shelby, TX R+71
Cities with Similar Populations
- Elm Creek, NE R+63
- Rangeley, ME R+4
- Ashley, IN R+55
- Kingsford Heights, IN R+22
- Tonto Basin, AZ R+58
- Tripoli, IA R+41
- Brownton, MN R+55
- Reeders, PA R+8
- Donaldson, AR R+74
- Oak Leaf, TX R+14
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.