New Vernon is a Republican stronghold. About 20% of voters here vote Democratic and 80% Republican.
About 72% of adults in New Vernon typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in New Vernon, ~14% vote Democratic, ~58% Republican, and ~28% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How New Vernon compares
Among cities within 25 miles, New Vernon leans more Republican than 104 of 106 neighbors.
New Vernon runs about 59 points more Republican than Pennsylvania as a whole.
Why New Vernon leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for New Vernon, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In New Vernon, about 96% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 24 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 16% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 10 points below the Pennsylvania average of 26%.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; New Vernon, PA sits above the national average on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in New Vernon looks the way it does
Turnout in New Vernon sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- New Lebanon, PA R+61
- Clarks Mills, PA R+59
- Sheakleyville, PA R+60
- Milledgeville, PA R+60
- Sandy Lake, PA R+51
- Hadley, PA R+58
- Carlton, PA R+60
- Custards, PA R+60
- Stoneboro, PA R+52
- Hannasville, PA R+58
Cities with Similar Populations
- Cordova, NE R+64
- Debs, MN R+45
- Iona, IN R+62
- Institute, WV D+47
- Ott Town, PA R+71
- Otway, NC R+54
- Lemoyne, NE R+72
- Packard, IA R+49
- Sherman Station, ME R+28
- Vimy Ridge, AR R+62
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Pennsylvania Department of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.