Newton County is a Republican stronghold. About 23% of voters here vote Democratic and 77% Republican.
About 69% of adults in Newton County typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Newton County, ~16% vote Democratic, ~53% Republican, and ~31% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Newton County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Newton County leans more Republican than 5 of 12 neighbors.
Newton County runs about 36 points more Republican than Missouri as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Newton County. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+71) and the northwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+44), a spread of about 27 points.
Why Newton County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Newton County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 72% of households in Newton County are family households, about 5 points above the U.S. average of 67%.
Frequent mental distress and voter turnout
Places with a low frequent-mental-distress rate tend to turn out at a higher rate; Newton County, MO sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Reported mental distress does not drive turnout; it reflects economic and health conditions tied to voting.
Why turnout in Newton County looks the way it does
Turnout in Newton County sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Jasper County, MO R+40
- McDonald County, MO R+65
- Cherokee County, KS R+56
- Ottawa County, OK R+53
- Barry County, MO R+62
- Lawrence County, MO R+60
- Delaware County, OK R+58
- Crawford County, KS R+28
- Barton County, MO R+65
- Benton County, AR R+26
Counties with Similar Populations
- Carson City, NV R+11
- Pike County, KY R+63
- Huron County, OH R+44
- Pickaway County, OH R+41
- Pike County, PA R+21
- Otsego County, NY R+5
- Kenai Peninsula Borough, AK R+27
- Autauga County, AL R+41
- Columbia County, WI R+17
- Lowndes County, MS Even
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Missouri Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.