Newton Lower Falls is a Democratic stronghold. About 77% of voters here vote Democratic and 23% Republican.
About 73% of adults in Newton Lower Falls typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Newton Lower Falls, ~56% vote Democratic, ~17% Republican, and ~27% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Newton Lower Falls compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Newton Lower Falls leans more Democratic than 147 of 169 neighbors.
Newton Lower Falls runs about 29 points more Democratic than Massachusetts as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Newton Lower Falls. The north side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+57) and the southwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+45), a spread of about 12 points.
Why Newton Lower Falls leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Newton Lower Falls, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 79% of adults in Newton Lower Falls hold a bachelor's degree, about 50 points above the U.S. average of 28%. Dense areas vote Democratic, and Newton Lower Falls sits in the top fifth on density (about 96%, above 98% of cities). A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 36% of adults in Newton Lower Falls have never been married, above 89% of cities.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Newton Lower Falls, MA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Newton Lower Falls looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Newton Lower Falls is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 75%, about 15 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Auburndale, MA D+59
- Waban, MA D+57
- Newton Upper Falls, MA D+59
- Wellesley, MA D+50
- Newton Highlands, MA D+62
- Newtonville, MA D+63
- Newton, MA D+58
- Weston, MA D+33
- Newton Center, MA D+60
- Needham, MA D+46
Cities with Similar Populations
- Stella, NC R+45
- Renick, MO R+64
- Manchester, NY R+20
- Lake Linden, MI R+18
- Ritzville, WA R+46
- Harrisville, PA R+50
- Belleair Bluffs, FL R+14
- Benwood, WV R+39
- Rudy, AR R+61
- Oyster Bay Cove, NY R+19
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Massachusetts Secretary of the Commonwealth, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.