North Bellmore, NY Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in North Bellmore

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

North Bellmore leans Republican by roughly 16 points: about 42% of voters vote Democratic and 58% Republican.

 

About 82% of adults in North Bellmore typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in North Bellmore, ~34% vote Democratic, ~48% Republican, and ~18% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How North Bellmore compares

Among cities within 25 miles, North Bellmore leans more Republican than 140 of 199 neighbors.

North Bellmore runs about 29 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while North Bellmore is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within North Bellmore. The south side is the most Republican-leaning (R+24) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+11), a spread of about 13 points.

Why North Bellmore leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for North Bellmore, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

North Bellmore votes Republican even though it is densely developed (more than 99%, far above the New York average of 36%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 87% of households in North Bellmore are family households, above 98% of cities. North Bellmore runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.

Walkability and Democratic lean

Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; North Bellmore, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.

Why turnout in North Bellmore looks the way it does

Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. North Bellmore is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 73%, about 13 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 92% of households in North Bellmore own their home, about 17 points above the U.S. average of 75%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 97% of adults in North Bellmore have completed high school, above 88% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.