North Fairfax leans Republican by roughly 20 points: about 40% of voters vote Democratic and 60% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Vermont did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 89% of adults in North Fairfax typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in North Fairfax, ~35% vote Democratic, ~53% Republican, and ~12% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How North Fairfax compares
Among cities within 25 miles, North Fairfax leans more Republican than 47 of 70 neighbors.
North Fairfax runs about 54 points more Republican than Vermont as a whole. Vermont leans Democratic overall, while North Fairfax is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within North Fairfax. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+30) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+16), a spread of about 14 points.
Why North Fairfax leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for North Fairfax, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
North Fairfax votes against the grain of Vermont. Vermont leans Democratic overall, while North Fairfax runs about 54 points more Republican. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 84% of households in North Fairfax are family households, above 95% of cities.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; North Fairfax, VT sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in North Fairfax looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. North Fairfax is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 73%, about 13 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 97% of households in North Fairfax own their home, about 22 points above the U.S. average of 75%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 97% of adults in North Fairfax have completed high school, above 88% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Sanderson Corner, VT R+17
- St. Albans, VT R+12
- Fairfield, VT R+27
- Georgia, VT R+21
- Fairfax, VT R+17
- Greens Corners, VT R+32
- St. Albans Bay, VT R+27
- East Fairfield, VT R+22
- Fletcher, VT R+18
- Montgomery, VT R+26
Cities with Similar Populations
- Abernant, AL R+78
- Advent, WV R+61
- Ferguson, IA R+42
- Lake Huntington, NY R+7
- North Miami, OK R+59
- Extra, WV R+62
- Tannery, KY R+73
- Englewood, LA R+72
- Kildare, TX R+55
- Homer, OH R+32
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Vermont Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. VT did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.