North Jay is a true toss-up. About 50% of voters here vote Democratic and 50% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Maine did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 89% of adults in North Jay typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in North Jay, ~45% vote Democratic, ~45% Republican, and ~10% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How North Jay compares
Among cities within 25 miles, North Jay sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 18 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 1 leaning the other way.
North Jay runs about 6 points more Republican than Maine as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within North Jay. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+5) and the west side runs the most Republican (R+20), a spread of about 25 points.
Why North Jay leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in North Jay. None of them point strongly toward either party.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; North Jay, ME sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in North Jay looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. North Jay is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 63%, above 56% of cities. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 95% of households in North Jay own their home, about 20 points above the U.S. average of 75%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and more than 99% of adults in North Jay have completed high school, in the top fraction of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Kingfield, ME D+6
- Stratton, ME R+27
- Reeds, ME R+36
- Eustis, ME R+28
- North New Portland, ME R+27
- Caratunk, ME R+27
- Strong, ME R+20
- Phillips, ME R+36
- New Portland, ME R+29
- Rangeley, ME R+4
Cities with Similar Populations
- Burket, IN R+66
- Twentythree, AR R+68
- Irondale, VA R+68
- Cottonwood, TX R+72
- Rector, PA R+45
- Lily Dale, NY R+18
- Terhune, IN R+59
- Pine Apple, AL D+34
- Park Center, CO R+36
- Dayton, MT R+26
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Maine Secretary of State, Bureau of Corporations Elections and Commissions, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. ME did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.