North Little Rock leans heavily Democratic by roughly 30 points: about 65% of voters vote Democratic and 35% Republican.
About 56% of adults in North Little Rock typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in North Little Rock, ~36% vote Democratic, ~19% Republican, and ~45% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How North Little Rock compares
Among cities within 25 miles, North Little Rock leans more Democratic than 46 of 50 neighbors.
North Little Rock runs about 61 points more Democratic than Arkansas as a whole. Arkansas leans Republican overall, while North Little Rock is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within North Little Rock. The south side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+64) and the northeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+3), a spread of about 61 points.
Why North Little Rock leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for North Little Rock, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 82% of residents in North Little Rock live in densely developed areas, about 45 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 34% of adults in North Little Rock have never been married, above 86% of cities. North Little Rock runs against the grain of Arkansas, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; North Little Rock, AR sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in North Little Rock looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. North Little Rock is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 47% of households in North Little Rock rent, about 22 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 25% of adults in North Little Rock report food insecurity, above 90% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Rose City, AR D+54
- Sherwood, AR Even
- Cammack Village, AR D+19
- College Station, AR D+84
- Sweet Home, AR D+60
- Little Rock, AR R+4
- Little Rock Air Force Base, AR R+4
- Maumelle, AR D+11
- Jacksonville, AR D+14
- Kerr, AR R+17
Cities with Similar Populations
- Port Orchard, WA D+3
- Gilroy, CA D+17
- Wyoming, MI D+12
- Goose Creek, SC R+5
- Brentwood, CA D+7
- South San Francisco, CA D+43
- Doral, FL R+18
- Powder Springs, GA D+26
- Cookeville, TN R+39
- Clermont, FL R+16
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.