North Shore Waialua leans Democratic by roughly 20 points: about 60% of voters vote Democratic and 40% Republican.
About 55% of adults in North Shore Waialua typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in North Shore Waialua, ~33% vote Democratic, ~22% Republican, and ~45% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How North Shore Waialua compares
Politically, North Shore Waialua sits close to the rest of Hawaii.
Politics vary noticeably by block within North Shore Waialua. The northwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+25) and the southeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+15), a spread of about 10 points.
Why North Shore Waialua leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in North Shore Waialua. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Cholesterol-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low cholesterol-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; North Shore Waialua, Waialua, HI sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Cholesterol screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in North Shore Waialua looks the way it does
Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout. About 9% of homes in North Shore Waialua have more than one occupant per room, above 89% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- North Shore, Haleiwa, HI D+7
- Mililani Mauka-Launani Valley, Mililani, HI D+16
- Mililani Waipio Melemanu, Mililani, HI D+17
- Koolauloa, Laie, HI D+17
- West Loch, Waipahu, HI D+9
- Pearl Highlands, Pearl City, HI D+16
- Makakilo-Kapolei-Honokai Hale, Kapolei, HI D+8
- Ewa, Ewa Beach, HI D+6
- Airport, Honolulu, HI D+8
- Aliamanu, Honolulu, HI D+13
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Southwest, Syracuse, NY D+73
- Teaticket, East Falmouth, MA D+32
- The Seasons, Bakersfield, CA R+9
- Del Prado, Pleasanton, CA D+37
- Lockhill Estates, San Antonio, TX D+31
- Thomasboro-Hoskins, Charlotte, NC D+75
- Central City Liberty Wells, Salt Lake City, UT D+66
- Victory Heights, Seattle, WA D+69
- Central Beach, Fort Lauderdale, FL R+8
- Tree Streets, Provo, UT R+3
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Hawaii Office of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Some land-use inputs for Hawaii, including walkability and the environmental-justice index, are estimated rather than measured, so the figures here carry added uncertainty. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.