North Shore leans slightly Democratic by roughly 8 points: about 54% of voters vote Democratic and 46% Republican.
About 59% of adults in North Shore typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in North Shore, ~32% vote Democratic, ~27% Republican, and ~41% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How North Shore compares
North Shore runs about 16 points more Republican than Hawaii as a whole.
Why North Shore leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in North Shore. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; North Shore, Haleiwa, HI sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in North Shore looks the way it does
Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout. About 7% of homes in North Shore have more than one occupant per room, above 85% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- North Shore Waialua, Waialua, HI D+20
- Koolauloa, Laie, HI D+17
- Mililani Mauka-Launani Valley, Mililani, HI D+16
- Mililani Waipio Melemanu, Mililani, HI D+17
- Pearl Highlands, Pearl City, HI D+16
- West Loch, Waipahu, HI D+9
- Makakilo-Kapolei-Honokai Hale, Kapolei, HI D+8
- Kahaluu, Kaneohe, HI D+21
- Ewa, Ewa Beach, HI D+6
- Airport, Honolulu, HI D+8
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Bulls Head, Staten Island, NY R+31
- Highland-Stoner Hill, Shreveport, LA D+39
- El Toro Marine Air Station, Irvine, CA D+18
- Green Lake, Seattle, WA D+76
- Bloomfield-Allen, Des Moines, IA D+4
- Friendly, Fort Washington, MD D+78
- Serramonte, Daly City, CA D+36
- Holland, Minneapolis, MN D+67
- Flamingo-Lummus, Miami Beach, FL D+17
- Brentwood, Austin, TX D+59
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Hawaii Office of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Some land-use inputs for Hawaii, including walkability and the environmental-justice index, are estimated rather than measured, so the figures here carry added uncertainty. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.