The Seasons leans slightly Republican by roughly 10 points: about 45% of voters vote Democratic and 55% Republican.
About 52% of adults in The Seasons typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in The Seasons, ~23% vote Democratic, ~29% Republican, and ~48% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How The Seasons compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, The Seasons leans more Republican than 13 of 21 neighbors.
The Seasons runs about 29 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while The Seasons is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why The Seasons leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for The Seasons, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
The Seasons votes against the grain of California. California leans Democratic overall, while The Seasons runs about 29 points more Republican. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and The Seasons sits in the bottom quarter (about 20%, below 76% of neighborhoods). A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 77% of households in The Seasons are family households, above 81% of neighborhoods.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; The Seasons, Bakersfield, CA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in The Seasons looks the way it does
Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout. About 6% of homes in The Seasons have more than one occupant per room, above 80% of neighborhoods. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 81% of adults in The Seasons have completed high school, below 84% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Ridgeview Estates, Bakersfield, CA R+12
- Silver Creek, Bakersfield, CA R+5
- Spice Tract, Bakersfield, CA Even
- Stonegate, Bakersfield, CA R+8
- Laurelglen, Bakersfield, CA R+15
- Sagepointe, Bakersfield, CA D+8
- Stone Meadows, Bakersfield, CA R+4
- The Oaks, Bakersfield, CA R+22
- Haggin Oaks, Bakersfield, CA R+19
- Terra Vista, Bakersfield, CA R+7
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Del Prado, Pleasanton, CA D+37
- Lockhill Estates, San Antonio, TX D+31
- Thomasboro-Hoskins, Charlotte, NC D+75
- Victory Heights, Seattle, WA D+69
- Southwest, Syracuse, NY D+73
- North Shore Waialua, Waialua, HI D+20
- Tree Streets, Provo, UT R+3
- Teaticket, East Falmouth, MA D+32
- Jefferson-Woodlawn Lake, San Antonio, TX D+36
- Downtown Fayetteville, Fayetteville, NC D+63
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.