Makakilo-Kapolei-Honokai Hale leans slightly Democratic by roughly 8 points: about 54% of voters vote Democratic and 46% Republican.
About 50% of adults in Makakilo-Kapolei-Honokai Hale typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Makakilo-Kapolei-Honokai Hale, ~27% vote Democratic, ~23% Republican, and ~50% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Makakilo-Kapolei-Honokai Hale compares
Makakilo-Kapolei-Honokai Hale sits in a sparsely populated area with few comparable neighborhoods nearby.
Makakilo-Kapolei-Honokai Hale runs about 15 points more Republican than Hawaii as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Makakilo-Kapolei-Honokai Hale. The southwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+24) and the southeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (Even), a spread of about 22 points.
Why Makakilo-Kapolei-Honokai Hale leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Makakilo-Kapolei-Honokai Hale. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Makakilo-Kapolei-Honokai Hale, Kapolei, HI sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Makakilo-Kapolei-Honokai Hale looks the way it does
Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout. About 7% of homes in Makakilo-Kapolei-Honokai Hale have more than one occupant per room, above 86% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Ewa, Ewa Beach, HI D+6
- West Loch, Waipahu, HI D+9
- Pearl Highlands, Pearl City, HI D+16
- Mililani Waipio Melemanu, Mililani, HI D+17
- Airport, Honolulu, HI D+8
- Mililani Mauka-Launani Valley, Mililani, HI D+16
- Aliamanu, Honolulu, HI D+13
- Moanalua, Honolulu, HI D+13
- Kalihi-Palama, Honolulu, HI D+11
- Kalihi Valley, Honolulu, HI D+11
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Allapattah, Miami, FL R+6
- Sunnyvale West, Sunnyvale, CA D+37
- Greenwich Village, Manhattan, NY D+71
- Encanto, Phoenix, AZ D+38
- Outer Sunset, San Francisco, CA D+49
- Arleta, Pacoima, CA D+31
- Almaden Valley, San Jose, CA D+27
- West Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA D+40
- South Ozone Park, Queens, NY D+31
- Mission Bay, San Diego, CA D+21
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Hawaii Office of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Some land-use inputs for Hawaii, including walkability and the environmental-justice index, are estimated rather than measured, so the figures here carry added uncertainty. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.