Northeast Durham is a Democratic stronghold. About 75% of voters here vote Democratic and 25% Republican.
About 69% of adults in Northeast Durham typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Northeast Durham, ~52% vote Democratic, ~17% Republican, and ~31% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Northeast Durham compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Northeast Durham is the least Democratic-leaning.
Northeast Durham runs about 54 points more Democratic than North Carolina as a whole. North Carolina leans Republican overall, while Northeast Durham is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Northeast Durham. The northwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+78) and the east side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+20), a spread of about 58 points.
Why Northeast Durham leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Northeast Durham, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Northeast Durham votes against the grain of North Carolina. North Carolina leans Republican overall, while Northeast Durham runs about 54 points more Democratic. Rural majority-Black areas vote Democratic, and about 42% of residents in Northeast Durham are Black or African American, above 87% of neighborhoods.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Northeast Durham, Durham, NC sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Northeast Durham looks the way it does
Turnout in Northeast Durham sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- East Durham, Durham, NC D+74
- Trinity Park, Durham, NC D+86
- Downtown Durham, Durham, NC D+74
- Old West Durham, Durham, NC D+73
- North Garrett Road, Durham, NC D+58
- Northwest Raleigh, Raleigh, NC D+34
- University of NC at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC D+72
- Downtown Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC D+68
- North, Raleigh, NC D+27
- Six Forks, Raleigh, NC D+27
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Beaverdale, Des Moines, IA D+39
- Sunbow, Chula Vista, CA D+18
- Holly, Everett, WA D+17
- Downtown, Washington, DC D+71
- Bay Farm Island, Alameda, CA D+51
- Desert Hills, Las Vegas, NV R+5
- Merritt, Oakland, CA D+64
- Sherman Heights, San Diego, CA D+45
- Donelson, Nashville, TN D+5
- Lakeside, San Antonio, TX D+24
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from North Carolina State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.