University of NC at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in University of NC at Chapel Hill

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

University of NC at Chapel Hill is a Democratic stronghold. About 86% of voters here vote Democratic and 14% Republican.

 

About 44% of adults in University of NC at Chapel Hill typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in University of NC at Chapel Hill, ~38% vote Democratic, ~6% Republican, and ~56% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How University of NC at Chapel Hill compares

University of NC at Chapel Hill runs about 76 points more Democratic than North Carolina as a whole. North Carolina leans Republican overall, while University of NC at Chapel Hill is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.

Why University of NC at Chapel Hill leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for University of NC at Chapel Hill, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 86% of adults in University of NC at Chapel Hill hold a bachelor's degree, about 57 points above the U.S. average of 28%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 97% of adults in University of NC at Chapel Hill have never been married, in the top fraction of neighborhoods. University of NC at Chapel Hill runs against the grain of North Carolina, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.

Walkability and Democratic lean

Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; University of NC at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.

Why turnout in University of NC at Chapel Hill looks the way it does

Renters vote less often than owners. About 96% of households in University of NC at Chapel Hill rent, about 71 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 32% of adults in University of NC at Chapel Hill report food insecurity, above 85% of neighborhoods. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and more than 99% of adults in University of NC at Chapel Hill have completed high school, above 98% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from North Carolina State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.