NoTi leans Democratic by roughly 30 points: about 65% of voters vote Democratic and 35% Republican.
About 45% of adults in NoTi typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in NoTi, ~29% vote Democratic, ~16% Republican, and ~55% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How NoTi compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, NoTi leans more Democratic than 11 of 17 neighbors.
NoTi runs about 31 points more Democratic than Pennsylvania as a whole. Pennsylvania is roughly evenly split, and NoTi sits clearly on the Democratic side.
Why NoTi leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for NoTi, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
NoTi votes against the grain of Pennsylvania. Pennsylvania is roughly evenly split, while NoTi runs about 31 points more Democratic. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 47% of adults in NoTi have never been married, above 77% of neighborhoods.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; NoTi, Allentown, PA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in NoTi looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. NoTi is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 45%, about 19 points below the Pennsylvania average of 64%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 69% of adults in NoTi have completed high school, below 95% of neighborhoods. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and NoTi sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Jordan Heights, Allentown, PA D+36
- 6th Ward, Allentown, PA D+14
- Eighth Ward, Allentown, PA D+26
- Old Allentown, Allentown, PA D+34
- 1st Ward, Allentown, PA D+30
- Downtown, Allentown, PA D+38
- West Park, Allentown, PA D+29
- Overlook Park, Allentown, PA D+26
- West Walnut, Allentown, PA D+30
- Fairview, Allentown, PA D+23
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Lincoln Villas, Jacksonville, FL D+61
- Tropico, Glendale, CA D+18
- Kings Manor, Largo, FL R+12
- Beach Park, Tampa, FL R+11
- Bethany, Mountain House, CA D+12
- Downtown South San Francisco, South San Francisco, CA D+46
- Hillcrest, Spring Valley, NY R+10
- Sardis Forest, Charlotte, NC Even
- Beacon Hill, San Antonio, TX D+43
- Settlers Landing, Jacksonville, FL R+7
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Pennsylvania Department of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.